Saturday, January 17, 2009





Returns for week ending 1/16/09

Strategic Growth model portfolio, returns for past…
1 week: -0.2%
26 weeks: +5.3%
52 weeks: +26.6%

Value of $10,000 invested at inception: $52,411

Saturday, January 10, 2009






Returns for week ending 1/9/09

Strategic Growth model portfolio, returns for past…

1 week: -2.2%
26 weeks: +4.0%
52 weeks: +29.5%

Value of $10,000 invested at inception: $52,502

Saturday, January 3, 2009

Absolute and Relative Returns by Holding Period



click to enlarge

Now 12 months into the live test, the Strategic Growth Model (SGM) portfolio continues to generate positive returns in spite of the adverse market conditions. Compared to the market, the SGM portfolio has generated 71% in excess returns over the past 52 weeks. And it continues to exhibit no correlation to the market trend.
This is a place holder, will update later. Please check the blog for NEXT week's holdings and updated performance measures.

Friday, January 2, 2009






Returns for week ending 1/2/09

Strategic Growth Model (SGM) portfolio, returns for past…
1 week: +1.3%
26 weeks: +5.5%
52 weeks: +34.4%

Value of $10,000 invested at inception: $53,684

The footprints of a Secular Bear


In a Secular Bear Market (US), US Treasuries perform better than US equities over a 10 year span. Here we see that the S&P 500 is down over 26% over the past 10 years. Note that several international indices have done much better.

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Dow performance 2008


To put this year's performance in perspective, this chart illustrates the 15 worst calendar year performances of the Dow since its inception in 1896. As today's chart illustrates, the Dow's performance in 2008 ranks as the third worst on record. Only 1931 and 1907 endured greater declines. It is of interest that major banking crises occurred in 1931, 1907, 2008, and 1930 – the four worst calendar years on record in terms of stock market performance.

The Nasdaq Composite had its worst year ever in 2008, while the S&P 500 Index had its third worst year ever.

Here is the yearly performance for 2008.

Dow Jones industrials -33.84
S&P 500 -38.49
Nasdaq Composite -40.54
Russell 2000 small cap -34.80